Since things seem to be hopping here at L&P this week, I thought I would take this chance to inaugurate the first of what I hope will be a number of posts in the upcoming months that track the ways in which the economic circumstances of average Americans are, contrary to the media and other prophets of doom, getting better and better. The media are very good at giving us the bad news, or what they think is the bad news, so I'm hoping to continually catalog the good news that they overlook or that, in the case of today's item, they sometimes stumble across.
I start with, of all places, the front page of today's New York Times (hat tip: Cafe Hayek), with a piece that opens with:
Despite a widespread sense that real estate has never been more expensive, families in the vast majority of the country can still buy a house for a smaller share of their income than they could have a generation ago. A sharp fall in mortgage rates since the early 1980's, a decline in mortgage fees and a rise in incomes have more than made up for rising house prices in almost every place outside of New York, Washington, Miami and along the coast in California.
It continues:
Nationwide, a family earning the median income - the exact middle of all incomes - would have to spend 22 percent of its pretax pay this year on mortgage payments to buy the median-priced house, according to an analysis by Moody's Economy.com, a research company. The share has increased since 1998, when it hit a low of 17 percent before house prices began rising sharply in many places. Although the overall level has reached its highest point since 1989, it remains well below the levels of the early 1980's, when it topped 30 percent.
There are several reasons for this, including the noted increasing incomes (again, contrary to popular myth), but the key is certainly lower interest rates that have enabled monthly mortgage payments to fall as a percentage of income. And, as one interviewee points out, houses today are bigger on average (and he neglects to mention that they have a lot more and better stuff in them - more have central a/c, better building materials, hard-wired smoke detectors, etc.), so families are getting more for their money. Changes in lending practices are noted as another causal factor, as lower down payments have made ownership possible for some even in the face of higher list prices, and efficiencies in the mortgage market are mentioned as well. Home ownership remains at record levels (69 percent) as a result.
This part of the American dream remains within reach of more and more average Americans.


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Sincerely,
A Prophet of Doom
Three things
Mark: I quoted those figures in my post. Frankly, my interest in the "things are getting better" argument is in longer-run phenomena, such as 20 years or more. Too many ephemeral factors can matter there.
CS: According to Census data, median household income has been flat from 2002-2004. It dipped from a peak in the late 90s, mostly due to the 2001 recession and the economic effects of 9/11. http://www.census.gov/prod/2005pubs/p60-229.pdf p. 3.
Of course flat or falling median household income need not mean that any single household became poorer. The median can fall due to an increase in the number of households where more come in below the previous year's median than above. So, for example, immigrants will tend to come in below the prior year's median, dragging down the median even if every other household became richer. So a falling median is perfectly consistent with the possibility that a large number of US households became richer in the period in question.
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Are Things Really Getting Better?
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I appreciate that your interest is in longer-run phenomena, and certainly the secular trends in the U.S. and abroad are, generally speaking, encouraging. What sparked my original comment was that the data you provided was not germane to your argument.
It would be even better